Monte Carlo equity simulator

No signup · runs locally

Same strategy, hundreds of alternate histories. This is what luck alone can do to an equity curve.

Start balance

Risk / trade

Win rate (%)

Reward : risk

Trades per sim

Simulations

Prop-firm evaluation mode

Equity distribution

Median 25–75% 5–95% sample runs

Final balance distribution

Median final balance

$98,369

across 500 sims

Sims ending in profit

100%

Median max drawdown

8.8%

Worst-case drawdown (p95)

15.8%

1 in 20 sims is worse

Sims below −50%

0.0%

Median worst losing streak

7 trades

size risk for this

Read this: with a 45% win rate, losing 7 trades in a row isn’t bad luck — it’s the median outcome. Size your risk so that streak can’t end the account.